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in cnbc's exclusive all-american survey today. mitt romney edges the president on who will be better to curb out debt and deficit. but the president is ahead on who's better to get the economy back on track. steve liesman is here with the disconnect. >> we've been puzzling over this all day. i want to show you the results we have from our national survey of 800 americans. take a look on the economy. who would be better over the next four years. first of all, we asked people, are you better or worse with compared to the last four years? no question here. 55 to 27 definitively, things are worse. what about who's better over the next four years? obama beats romney by nine point. that's more than other surveys out there. caution here, weak survey. other surveys more interested in the political side. they survey registered and likely voters. how about jobs? six to two, worse on jobs. who's better? obama wins. the one place where romney wins is as maria said, on the next one, on the deficit. overwhelmingly, people think the deficit is worse than it was four years ago. they're right. they s
you with us. it's a referendum on taxes but as candidate romney said some months ago down in florida, if 47%, 46% of the households are already paying no taxes, is his message of lower taxes going to resonate with that significant portion of the electorate? >> i actually think that message does resonate. most americans know instinctively higher taxes mean slower growth, fewer jobs. whether you're paying income taxes, everyone has a strong interest in robust economy and a low tax rate is part of that. >> sir, if obama wins re-election, will republicans have to give up on their no tax hike position? >> the question is not really whether they'll give up. no, they don't have to give up. the problem is all the bush tax cuts run out automatically. republicans could vote to extend them unless the president is willing to sign that extension. then they run out. that, by the way, could have happened in 2010. the only reason we were able to avoid it then is the president, i think, wisely decided the economy was too weak and we bargained with him. gave him an extension of unemployment benefits i
, are you looking at different scenarios if the president wins re-election versus a romney win? how are you playing that? >> well, number one, i don't think anybody's going to have a landslide. i think that the possibility of change is going to be very close in terms of the presidency of the house and the senate. it will be interesting. we don't see any gigantic changes. if that's the case, then i think that there will have to be deals made and we'll get back to business. >> all right, david -- >> it's not sustainable. >> right. >> david, how do you disagree with bill? he's got that rosy scenario. you don't. >> i don't. $800 billion bill coming due in the first quarter. it won't be that much. it might be $200 billion. nevertheless, that's going to slow down real u.s. gdp growth from 2% to less than 2% in the first half of 2013. that's going to have an impact on earnings. i might like what's happening on an individual company basis, but this fiscal cliff is simply just not the right remedy for the u.s. economy and profits to grow above expectations. it's all on the back of the fed. we've see
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